Raja Venkatraman’s top picks for 24 December


Indian stock markets: Domestic frontline indices, Sensex and Nifty 50, ended flat on Tuesday, 23 December, on profit booking at higher levels, even as mid and small-cap segments ended with modest gains amid mixed global cues.

The Sensex ended with a minor loss of 43 points, or 0.05%, at 85,524.84, while the Nifty 50 closed 5 points, or 0.02%, up at 26,177.15. The BSE Midcap index inched up by 0.07%, and the Smallcap index rose by 0.38%.

Select heavyweights, such as Infosys, Bharti Airtel, and ICICI Bank, were among the top drags on the benchmarks, while HDFC Bank and ITC were among the key supports.

Three stocks to trade, recommended by NeoTrader’s Raja Venkatraman:

Ashok Leyland (current market price 177.96) – Buy above 178, stop loss 174, target price 187 (Multiday)

  • Why it’s recommended: Ashok Leyland Ltd is the flagship company of the Indian-origin British transnational Hinduja Group and is a major global manufacturer of commercial vehicles, including trucks, buses, defense vehicles, and engines. This stock after some sharp declines has dipped into the lower end of the Kumo region and has been consolidating for a while. A revival seen on Monday with robust volumes that emerged is producing a recovery. With the prices climbing higher and revival of momentum once again we can look at possibility of more upside. Look to buy.
  • Key metrics:
    • P/E Ratio : 30.99
    • 52-week high: 177.95,
    • Volume: 8.54M.
  • Technical analysis: Support at 172, resistance at 190.
  • Risk factors: Macroeconomic cycles, intense competition, significant debt burden, and commodity price volatility.
  • Buy : above 178.
  • Stop loss: 174.
  • Target price: 187(2 Months)

HDFC AMC (current market price 2709.30) – Buy above 2712, stop loss 2670, target price 2775 (Intraday)

  • Why it’s recommended: HDFC Asset Management Co. Ltd (HDFC AMC) is one of India’s leading asset management companies, primarily in the business of providing asset management services to HDFC Mutual Fund. It is a subsidiary of HDFC Bank Ltd. The last one week has been quite volatile and the incessant selling pressure could not fuel the further upmove. An encouraging move towards the close of the day and with assistance from RSI could influence the prices to move higher. on the daily charts highlight that there is a strong possibility to move higher.
  • Key metrics:
    • P/E: 7.86,
    • 52-week high: 381.60,
    • Volume: 785.41K.
  • Technical analysis: Support at 2500, resistance at 2800.
  • Risk factors: Market volatility, regulatory changes by SEBI, and intense competitive pressure.
  • Buy: Above 2712.
  • Stop loss: 2670.
  • Target price: 2775

Dalmia Bharat (current market price Rs 2059.40) – Buy above 2065, stop loss 2035, target price 2140 (Intraday)

  • Why it’s recommended: Dalmia Bharat Ltd is one of India’s leading cement manufacturers and a pioneer in sustainability, aiming to become a carbon-negative company by 2040. Founded in 1939, it is the fourth-largest cement manufacturer in India by installed capacity. A strong long body bullish candle seen on Tuesday has ignited some strong bullish sentiments. With the RSI taking support at the neutral zone and rising we can look at possibility of more upside in the coming days. A rally to the into the cloud region augurs well for some continuation. Go long.
  • Key metrics:
    • P/E: 294.54,
    • 52-week high: 2495.95,
    • Volume: 327.40K.
  • Technical analysis: Support at 1930, resistance at 2200.
  • Risk factors: Recent financial performance, high valuation, and intense competition.
  • Buy: Above 2065.
  • Stop loss: 2035.
  • Target price: 2140.

Stock Market Recap

On 23 December, Indian equity markets struggled to sustain early momentum and slipped into a rangebound trajectory, snapping their two-day winning streak.

The Nifty 50 closed marginally higher by 4.75 points or 0.02 percent at 26,177.15, while the Sensex edged lower by 42.64 points or 0.05 percent to settle at 85,524.84. Broader market performance was mixed, with the BSE Midcap index ending flat and the Smallcap index advancing 0.4 percent, reflecting selective buying interest.

Among sectoral movers, Coal India, Shriram Finance, UltraTech Cement, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, and Power Grid Corporation emerged as notable gainers, lending support to the benchmark indices.

In contrast, heavyweights such as Infosys, Bharti Airtel, Cipla, Tech Mahindra, and Axis Bank dragged on sentiment, capping upside potential. The session highlighted cautious investor mood ahead of year-end, with traders preferring to book profits and maintain defensive positions amid limited directional cues.

Outlook for Trading

Markets take a pause and the inability of the trader to finalise on the trends is continuing to be a pain point that could keep the overall market participants in a state of confusion. With a swift recovery from lower levels, we can note that the overall market sentiment continues to hold a tensed outlook despite flashes of bullishness that are now influencing the trends hold on to the good work at the moment.

A small body candle continues to emerge at the resistance zones and this needs to worked in our favour. Currently we are undergoing a volatile scenario that is keeping the trends on leash forcing us to reconsider that the way ahead is not going to be easy. With the possibility of sustained upward traction, we can look for any intraday dips as a reason to buy into.

The weekly expiry remained muted and the possibility of some further bounce remains that has sustained and shown some strong upward trajectory. As trends are clearly dependent on the global cues, we will continue to experience some restricted action and the gaps in every decline will remain a buying opportunity.

The option data clearly highlights with a PCR around 1 the challenge will be how to handle the strong phases of decline that sets in making it difficult to rebound. We are now looking at some range breakout trades for the day as we are in a curtailed week as the market would look to consolidate as we near the month end rally also know as a Santa rally that will seek to spread some bullish cheer as we near the monthly expiry. We had suggested that Nifty may have difficulty at higher levels and this continues to be the pain point as we head into the session.

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(TradingView)

Raja Venkatraman is co-founder, NeoTrader. His Sebi-registered research analyst registration no. is INH000016223.

Investments in securities are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing. Registration granted by Sebi and certification from NISM in no way guarantees performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations given in this article are those of individual analysts. These do not represent the views of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.


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